Lecce vs Udinese Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Fri 28 Apr, 18:30
Lecce
10 Full time
Udinese
Lecce 1–0 Udinese

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 29%
Away 33%

💡 Lecce have a slight edge — leaning Lecce, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1417 v 1497 Udinese rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Udinese

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Why we predict this

  • Udinese is the stronger side on Power Rating (1497 vs 1417).
  • Udinese is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Udinese
Form Index
Udinese
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Udinese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLLLDL0.2 ppg
UdineseWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1417
Udinese1497
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 33% · 35%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning29% · 26% · 45%

AI match preview

Lecce and Udinese head into this Serie A clash with closely matched probabilities, as the model gives a slight edge to a home win at 38%, while a draw and away win stand at 29% and 33% respectively. Expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a tight contest with the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw. With under 2.5 goals favored and a moderate chance of both teams scoring, this game promises to be finely balanced; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Lecce 1–0 Udinese
Nov 2022 Udinese 1–1 Lecce