Torino vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 29 Apr, 20:45
Torino
12 Full time
Atalanta
Torino 1–2 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 29%
Away 42%

💡 Atalanta have a slight edge — leaning Atalanta, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1552 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Torino v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1552 vs 1503).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.2 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Torino

Green = favours Torino · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TorinoLDLDW1.0 ppg
AtalantaWWLDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Torino1503
Atalanta1552
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 33% · 47%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning26% · 27% · 47%

AI match preview

Torino host Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 42% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a draw or home win both sitting at 29%. The expected goals tally favors Atalanta slightly, at 1.24 compared to Torino’s 0.73, making a narrow 0-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With only a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, this match could be a tight, low-scoring affair—remember these are statistical probabilities and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.73 – 1.24

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Turin, Italy Capacity 28,177 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Torino 1–2 Atalanta
Sept 2022 Atalanta 3–1 Torino