Sassuolo vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 30 Apr, 15:00
Sassuolo
21 Full time
Empoli
Sassuolo 2–1 Empoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 27%
Away 25%

💡 Sassuolo are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1484 v 1431 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sassuolo is the stronger side on Power Rating (1484 vs 1431).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloWDLWL1.4 ppg
EmpoliLWDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1484
Empoli1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 21%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning47% · 30% · 23%

AI match preview

Sassuolo holds a slight statistical edge with a 48% chance to secure a home win against Empoli, who are pegged at 25% to upset. The model suggests a tight contest with an expected scoreline of 1-0, reflecting modest goal-scoring chances from both sides. With only a 34% probability for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on narrow margins; remember, these projections are based on data and not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 0.78

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Sassuolo 2–1 Empoli
Nov 2022 Empoli 1–0 Sassuolo