Fiorentina vs Sampdoria Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 30 Apr, 18:00
Fiorentina
50 Full time
Sampdoria
Fiorentina 5–0 Sampdoria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 20%
Away 13%

💡 Fiorentina are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1349 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1512 vs 1349).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Sampdoria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWWDDL1.6 ppg
SampdoriaWLLDD1 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1512
Sampdoria1349
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 26% · 18%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning61% · 28% · 11%

AI match preview

Fiorentina enter this Serie A clash with a 67% chance of victory, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.78 to 0.91 over Sampdoria. Despite the home side's statistical edge, the most likely scoreline remains a tight 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With a balanced 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match; remember, these projections are based on data and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.78 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Fiorentina 5–0 Sampdoria
Nov 2022 Sampdoria 0–2 Fiorentina