Salernitana vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Wed 3 May, 18:00
Salernitana
33 Full time
Fiorentina
Salernitana 3–3 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 27%
Away 46%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1470 v 1521 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1521 vs 1470).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaDDDWD1.4 ppg
FiorentinaWDDLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1470
Fiorentina1521
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 32% · 38%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning27% · 27% · 46%

AI match preview

Salernitana host Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 46% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a closely contested draw also plausible at 27%. Both teams are expected to find the net, reflected in a 49% probability for BTTS, while the predicted scoreline of 1-1 suggests a tight encounter with modest goal-scoring. Over 2.5 goals seems less likely at 41%, emphasizing a match that could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical probabilities and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.09 – 1.23

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Salernitana 3–3 Fiorentina
Nov 2022 Fiorentina 2–1 Salernitana