Lazio vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Wed 3 May, 21:00
Lazio
20 Full time
Sassuolo
Lazio 2–0 Sassuolo

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 22%
Away 18%

💡 Lazio are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1601 v 1491 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1601 vs 1491).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioWWWLL1.8 ppg
SassuoloDLWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1601
Sassuolo1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 24% · 16%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning64% · 25% · 11%

AI match preview

Lazio enter this Serie A clash with a 60% probability of securing a home win, backed by a confidence level of 71/100, while Sassuolo’s chances stand at 18%, and a draw is projected at 22%. The expected goals suggest Lazio may edge the scoreboard with 1.99 goals against Sassuolo’s 0.95, yet the most likely scoreline remains a balanced 1-1. With over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 54%, fans can anticipate an open contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.99 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Lazio 2–0 Sassuolo
Jan 2023 Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio