Monza vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Wed 3 May, 21:00
Monza
11 Full time
Roma
Monza 1–1 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 29%
Away 43%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1513 v 1564 Roma rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1564 vs 1513).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaLDWWW2.0 ppg
RomaWWWLD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1513
Roma1564
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 30% · 37%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning28% · 27% · 45%

AI match preview

Monza host Roma in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 43% chance of victory, slightly edging out draws and home wins each at 29%. The model anticipates a closely contested game with an expected goal tally near 1.3 for both sides and a most likely score of 1-1, reflecting a balanced offensive output. With a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance both teams score, this matchup could see some attacking moments; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Monza 1–1 Roma
Aug 2022 Roma 3–0 Monza