Empoli vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Thu 4 May, 20:45
Empoli
31 Full time
Bologna
Empoli 3–1 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 29%
Away 38%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1424 v 1526 Bologna rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Empoli v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1526 vs 1424).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliWDLLL0.8 ppg
BolognaWWDLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1424
Bologna1526
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 30% · 37%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning29% · 26% · 45%

AI match preview

Empoli and Bologna are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38% probability over a home victory or draw. The expected goals are nearly even at around 1.25 each, suggesting a balanced match that could well end in a 1-1 draw, which is the most likely scoreline. With just over half the chances for both teams to score and under 50% for more than 2.5 goals, this game looks poised for a competitive but modest scoring affair. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Empoli 3–1 Bologna
Sept 2022 Bologna 0–1 Empoli