Udinese vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Thu 4 May, 20:45
Udinese
11 Full time
Napoli
Udinese 1–1 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (61%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 22%
Away 61%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1486 v 1679 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Udinese v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1679 vs 1486).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseLDLWL0.8 ppg
NapoliLWDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1486
Napoli1679
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model13% · 24% · 63%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 57%
Machine-learning13% · 20% · 68%

AI match preview

Napoli enter this Serie A clash against Udinese as clear favorites, with a 61% chance of securing an away win according to the model, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.96 to 0.80. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, reflecting Napoli’s offensive edge, while the probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score remain fairly even at around 50%. These projections suggest Napoli have the upper hand, but as always, outcomes can vary—please enjoy responsibly and remember to gamble only if you’re 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 1.96

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Udinese 1–1 Napoli
Nov 2022 Napoli 3–2 Udinese