Roma vs Inter Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 6 May, 18:00
Roma
02 Full time
Inter
Roma 0–2 Inter

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (36%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 28%
Away 36%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1564 v 1579 Inter rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Inter

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1564 vs 1579).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Inter
Form Index
Inter
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Inter. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWWLDD1.6 ppg
InterDLWWW2 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1564
Inter1579
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 28% · 24%
Power Rating44% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning36% · 27% · 38%

AI match preview

Roma and Inter face off in a tightly poised Serie A clash, with model projections giving both sides a 36% chance to win and a 28% likelihood of a draw. Expected goals favor Roma slightly at 1.64 compared to Inter's 1.09, yet the most probable scoreline remains a balanced 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%, this match promises competitive action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Roma 0–2 Inter
Oct 2022 Inter 1–2 Roma