Cremonese vs Spezia Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 6 May, 20:45
Cremonese
20 Full time
Spezia
Cremonese 2–0 Spezia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 29%
Away 33%

💡 Cremonese have a slight edge — leaning Cremonese, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1377 v 1390 Spezia rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1377 vs 1390).
  • Cremonese is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Spezia
Form Index
Cremonese
Goal expectation
Spezia
Home advantage
Cremonese

Green = favours Cremonese · Blue = favours Spezia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CremoneseWWLDD1.6 ppg
SpeziaDLDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Cremonese1377
Spezia1390
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 34% · 38%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning38% · 32% · 30%

AI match preview

Cremonese and Spezia are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38%, though a draw or away win remain close possibilities. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring encounter, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline and only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals. With both teams showing a 42% probability of both scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive match, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Cremonese 2–0 Spezia
Oct 2022 Spezia 2–2 Cremonese