Atalanta vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 7 May, 12:30
Atalanta
02 Full time
Juventus
Atalanta 0–2 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Atalanta have a slight edge — leaning Atalanta, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1568 v 1589 Juventus rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Juventus

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1568 vs 1589).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Juventus
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLDWWW2 ppg
JuventusLLLDW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1568
Juventus1589
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 32% · 29%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning40% · 30% · 30%

AI match preview

Atalanta host Juventus in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, though a draw and away win remain plausible outcomes at 28% and 31% respectively. The model projects a competitive match with expected goals of 1.24 for Atalanta and 1.04 for Juventus, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With under 50% probabilities for both over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, this encounter could be tightly contested; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.04

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Atalanta 0–2 Juventus
Jan 2023 Juventus 3–3 Atalanta