Lecce vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 7 May, 20:45
Lecce
01 Full time
Verona
Lecce 0–1 Verona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 29%
Away 24%

💡 Lecce are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1423 v 1401 Lecce rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Verona

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1423 vs 1401).
  • Verona is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lecce
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Lecce
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLDLWL0.8 ppg
VeronaWDWDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1423
Verona1401
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 37% · 21%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning50% · 28% · 22%

AI match preview

Lecce holds a 46% chance of securing a home win against Verona, with the model showing a moderate confidence level of 51/100. Despite this, the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw, reflecting the relatively low expected goals of 1.02 for Lecce and 0.65 for Verona. With just a 23% probability for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, this match may lean towards a cautious affair; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 0.65

Most likely score

0-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 23%

Under 77%

Both teams to score

Yes 32%

No 68%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Lecce 0–1 Verona
Jan 2023 Verona 2–0 Lecce