Empoli vs Salernitana Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Mon 8 May, 18:30
Empoli
21 Full time
Salernitana
Empoli 2–1 Salernitana

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 30%
Away 27%

💡 Empoli have a slight edge — leaning Empoli, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1442 v 1470 Salernitana rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1442 vs 1470).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Salernitana
Form Index
Salernitana
Goal expectation
Empoli
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Salernitana. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliDLLLW0.8 ppg
SalernitanaDDWDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1442
Salernitana1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 30% · 26%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning43% · 27% · 30%

AI match preview

Empoli holds a slight edge with a 43% chance to win against Salernitana, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. The expected goals suggest a closely contested match, with a 1-1 scoreline being the most probable outcome. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring just under 50% probability, this game promises a tight battle—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Empoli 2–1 Salernitana
Sept 2022 Salernitana 2–2 Empoli