Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Mon 8 May, 20:45
Sassuolo
11 Full time
Bologna
Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1507 Bologna rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1482 vs 1507).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLWLWL1.2 ppg
BolognaWDLDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1482
Bologna1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 26% · 24%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning38% · 28% · 34%

AI match preview

Sassuolo and Bologna face off in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model predicts a closely contested game with an expected goal tally favoring Sassuolo 1.78 to 1.17, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna
Nov 2022 Bologna 3–0 Sassuolo