Salernitana vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 13 May, 15:00
Salernitana
10 Full time
Atalanta
Salernitana 1–0 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 24%
Away 52%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1460 v 1549 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Salernitana v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1460).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaDWDDL1.2 ppg
AtalantaDWWWL2 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1460
Atalanta1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 26% · 49%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning20% · 25% · 55%

AI match preview

Salernitana host Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 52% chance of victory, according to model projections, though a draw remains a close possibility at 24%. The expected goals tally suggests a competitive encounter with both teams likely to find the net, as indicated by a 60% probability for BTTS and a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals. While the model favors an away win with moderate confidence, fans should remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.78

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Salernitana 1–0 Atalanta
Jan 2023 Atalanta 8–2 Salernitana