Monza vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 14 May, 15:00
Monza
20 Full time
Napoli
Monza 2–0 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 24%
Away 53%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1515 v 1680 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1680 vs 1515).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaWWWDD2.2 ppg
NapoliDWDDW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1515
Napoli1680
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 21% · 70%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning11% · 21% · 68%

AI match preview

Napoli are favored to claim victory against Monza with a 53% chance, supported by a projected 2.08 expected goals compared to Monza's 0.64. The model suggests a 0-2 scoreline as the most probable outcome, reflecting Napoli's offensive edge and Monza's defensive challenges. While the odds lean towards an away win, the 24% draw probability and moderate chances for over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (43%) indicate a contest that could still hold surprises; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.64 – 2.08

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Monza 2–0 Napoli
Aug 2022 Napoli 4–0 Monza