Bologna vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 14 May, 18:00
Bologna
00 Full time
Roma
Bologna 0–0 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 30%
Away 33%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1509 v 1546 Roma rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Roma

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1509 vs 1546).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaDLDLD0.6 ppg
RomaWLDDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1509
Roma1546
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 33% · 24%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning34% · 27% · 40%

AI match preview

Bologna hosts Roma in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 38%, though a draw (30%) and away victory (33%) remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a modest edge to Bologna with 1.19 versus 0.83 for Roma, yet the most likely scoreline is a cautious 0-0 stalemate. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this encounter may hinge on tight defensive play—remember these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 0.83

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Bologna 0–0 Roma
Jan 2023 Roma 1–0 Bologna