Sampdoria vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Mon 15 May, 20:45
Sampdoria
11 Full time
Empoli
Sampdoria 1–1 Empoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 28%
Away 46%

💡 Empoli are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1321 v 1452 Empoli rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sampdoria v Empoli

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Why we predict this

  • Empoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1452 vs 1321).
  • Empoli is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Empoli
Form Index
Empoli
Goal expectation
Empoli
Home advantage
Sampdoria

Green = favours Sampdoria · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SampdoriaDDLLL0.4 ppg
EmpoliLLLWW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sampdoria1321
Empoli1452
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 36% · 42%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning22% · 24% · 54%

AI match preview

Sampdoria host Empoli in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 46% chance to claim victory, according to model projections, while a draw is slightly more probable than a home win. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Empoli edging 1.04 to 0.67, yet the most likely score remains 0-0, reflecting a potentially cautious encounter. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (24%) and both teams scoring (33%), this match may hinge on a single moment of quality. Remember, these are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.67 – 1.04

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 24%

Under 76%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Sampdoria 1–1 Empoli
Jan 2023 Empoli 1–0 Sampdoria