Sassuolo vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Fri 19 May, 20:45
Sassuolo
12 Full time
Monza
Sassuolo 1–2 Monza

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1536 Monza rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sassuolo v Monza

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Why we predict this

  • Monza is the stronger side on Power Rating (1536 vs 1472).
  • Monza is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monza
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLWLDL0.8 ppg
MonzaWWDDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1472
Monza1536
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 31% · 28%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning35% · 26% · 39%

AI match preview

Sassuolo and Monza face off in a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 41% probability. Both sides are expected to produce a tight game, with an anticipated 1.33 to 1.07 expected goals and a most likely scoreline of 1-1, highlighting the potential for a balanced match. With a 50% chance for both teams to score and a 43% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, this encounter could offer goalmouth action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Sassuolo 1–2 Monza
Jan 2023 Monza 1–1 Sassuolo