Lecce vs Spezia Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 12:30
Lecce
00 Full time
Spezia
Lecce 0–0 Spezia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 28%
Away 24%

💡 Lecce are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1417 v 1399 Lecce rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Spezia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1417 vs 1399).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lecce
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lecce
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Spezia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLWLLD0.8 ppg
SpeziaDLLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1417
Spezia1399
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 33% · 23%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning51% · 28% · 21%

AI match preview

Lecce holds a slight advantage with a 48% chance to claim victory against Spezia, who are rated at 24%, while a draw is projected at 28%. The expected goals tally favors the home side at 1.24 to 0.83, though a 1-1 draw remains the most likely scoreline according to the model. With only a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% probability of both teams scoring, this contest could be a tight, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 0.83

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Lecce 0–0 Spezia
Jan 2023 Spezia 0–0 Lecce