Torino vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 15:00
Torino
11 Full time
Fiorentina
Torino 1–1 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 30%
Away 30%

💡 Torino have a slight edge — leaning Torino, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1529 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Torino v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1512 vs 1529).
  • Torino is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Torino
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Torino

Green = favours Torino · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TorinoWLWDW2 ppg
FiorentinaLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Torino1512
Fiorentina1529
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 36% · 39%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning36% · 31% · 34%

AI match preview

Torino and Fiorentina face off in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win with a 40% probability, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight, low-scoring encounter, with 0-0 being the most likely scoreline and only a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams finding the net is projected at 35%, indicating a cautious battle ahead. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.75 – 1.01

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Turin, Italy Capacity 28,177 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Torino 1–1 Fiorentina
Jan 2023 Fiorentina 0–1 Torino