Roma vs Salernitana Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Mon 22 May, 18:30
Roma
22 Full time
Salernitana
Roma 2–2 Salernitana

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 22%
Away 16%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1546 v 1472 Roma rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Salernitana

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1546 vs 1472).
  • Salernitana is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Salernitana
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Salernitana. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaLDDLD0.6 ppg
SalernitanaWDDLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1546
Salernitana1472
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 24% · 12%
Power Rating59% · 14% · 27%
Machine-learning61% · 25% · 15%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash with a 62% probability of securing a home win against Salernitana, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.83 to 0.66. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a moderate chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals (45%) and both teams scoring (42%). These projections are based on statistical analysis—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.66

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Roma 2–2 Salernitana
Aug 2022 Salernitana 0–1 Roma