Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 27 May, 18:00
Fiorentina
21 Full time
Roma
Fiorentina 2–1 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1531 v 1542 Roma rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1531 vs 1542).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWDLWD1.6 ppg
RomaDDLDD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1531
Roma1542
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning37% · 30% · 32%

AI match preview

Fiorentina and Roma are set to face off in a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 41%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals are close, at 1.31 for Fiorentina and 1.19 for Roma, suggesting a balanced encounter that could well end in a 1-1 draw. With a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Fiorentina 2–1 Roma
Jan 2023 Roma 2–0 Fiorentina