Verona vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 28 May, 12:30
Verona
11 Full time
Empoli
Verona 1–1 Empoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Verona have a slight edge — leaning Verona, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1397 v 1475 Empoli rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Verona v Empoli

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Why we predict this

  • Empoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1475 vs 1397).
  • Empoli is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Empoli
Form Index
Empoli
Goal expectation
Empoli
Home advantage
Verona

Green = favours Verona · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VeronaDLWLL0.8 ppg
EmpoliLWWDW2 ppg
Power Rating
Verona1397
Empoli1475
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 32% · 37%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning28% · 26% · 46%

AI match preview

Verona and Empoli are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model giving Verona a slight edge at 41% to claim victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Both teams are projected to score around one goal each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline according to the expected goals metric. With less than a 50% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could be a close, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.09 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Verona 1–1 Empoli
Aug 2022 Empoli 1–1 Verona