Bologna vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 28 May, 15:00
Bologna
22 Full time
Napoli
Bologna 2–2 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 26%
Away 50%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1525 v 1670 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1670 vs 1525).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaDLDDW1.2 ppg
NapoliDDWLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1525
Napoli1670
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 34% · 47%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning17% · 22% · 61%

AI match preview

Napoli enter their Serie A clash with Bologna as slight favorites, holding a 50% probability for an away win against Bologna's 24%, while a draw stands at 26%. The model predicts a tight game with expected goals favoring Napoli at 1.18 to Bologna's 0.64, yet the most likely score remains 0-0, reflecting a potential defensive standoff. With only a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, this match may hinge on a single moment of quality; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.64 – 1.18

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Bologna 2–2 Napoli
Oct 2022 Napoli 3–2 Bologna