Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Fri 2 Jun, 20:30
Sassuolo
13 Full time
Fiorentina
Sassuolo 1–3 Fiorentina

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 27%
Away 38%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1540 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1540 vs 1459).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLDLLD0.4 ppg
FiorentinaDLWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1459
Fiorentina1540
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 33% · 34%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning29% · 26% · 46%

AI match preview

Sassuolo and Fiorentina are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Fiorentina at 38% compared to Sassuolo's 35%. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a balanced game likely to produce around two goals, with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 45%, this match could be tight and competitive; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2023 Sassuolo 1–3 Fiorentina
Jan 2023 Fiorentina 2–1 Sassuolo