Empoli vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 3 Jun, 21:00
Empoli
02 Full time
Lazio
Empoli 0–2 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 25%
Away 51%

💡 Lazio are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1474 v 1601 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1601 vs 1474).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Empoli
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliWWDWD2.2 ppg
LazioWLDWW2 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1474
Lazio1601
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 30% · 53%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 46%
Machine-learning19% · 25% · 57%

AI match preview

Lazio heads to Empoli with a statistical edge, holding a 51% chance of securing the win, while a draw and home victory are less favored at 25% and 23%, respectively. The model projects a modest scoring affair, with expected goals at 0.68 for Empoli and 1.43 for Lazio, making a 1-0 away win the most probable outcome. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this match may lean towards a tighter contest—remember, these projections are based on probabilities; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.68 – 1.43

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2023 Empoli 0–2 Lazio
Jan 2023 Lazio 2–2 Empoli