Atalanta vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 4 Jun, 21:00
Atalanta
52 Full time
Monza
Atalanta 5–2 Monza

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 23%
Away 22%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1538 v 1530 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Monza

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1538 vs 1530).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaWLLWL1.2 ppg
MonzaDDWWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1538
Monza1530
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 26% · 28%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 32%
Machine-learning50% · 28% · 22%

AI match preview

Atalanta enter this Serie A clash with a 55% chance of securing a home win against Monza, who are pegged at 22% to upset the hosts, while a draw sits at 23%. The model anticipates a closely contested game with an expected goals tally of 1.76 for Atalanta and 1.33 for Monza, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance both teams will score, fans can expect an engaging match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.33

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2023 Atalanta 5–2 Monza
Sept 2022 Monza 0–2 Atalanta