Verona vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 13 Jan, 17:00
Verona
21 Full time
Empoli
Verona 2–1 Empoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 27%
Away 25%

💡 Verona are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1421 v 1396 Verona rated higher
Form Index DLWLL v DLLDL Verona 0.8 · Empoli 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1421 vs 1396).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Verona
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Verona
Home advantage
Verona

Green = favours Verona · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VeronaDLWLL0.8 ppg
EmpoliDLLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Verona1421
Empoli1396
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 21%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning59% · 27% · 14%

AI match preview

Verona host Empoli in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 48%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Expected goals suggest a modest edge for Verona (1.32 vs. 0.80), with the most likely scoreline projected as a 1-1 draw. With only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% probability for both teams to score, this game may lean towards a tight, low-scoring contest. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 0.80

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

VeronaEmpoli
3.9 Corners 4.6
2.6 Cards 2.1
15.0 Fouls 14.3

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Verona 2–1 Empoli
Aug 2023 Empoli 0–1 Verona