Lazio vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 14 Jan, 11:30
Lazio
10 Full time
Lecce
Lazio 1–0 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 25%
Away 18%

💡 Lazio are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1532 v 1468 Lazio rated higher
Form Index DLWWW v DWLLD Lazio 2.0 · Lecce 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1532 vs 1468).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioDLWWW2.0 ppg
LecceDWLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1532
Lecce1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 32% · 19%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning61% · 26% · 12%

AI match preview

Lazio enters this Serie A clash with a 58% chance of securing a home win against Lecce, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.29 to 0.73. The most probable outcome is a narrow 1-0 victory for Lazio, with a relatively low likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring. These projections offer a statistical glimpse into the match, but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you're 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 0.73

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

LazioLecce
5.0 Corners 4.4
2.6 Cards 2.0
11.4 Fouls 12.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Lazio 1–0 Lecce
Aug 2023 Lecce 2–1 Lazio