Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 14 Jan, 14:00
Cagliari
21 Full time
Bologna
Cagliari 2–1 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 30%
Away 42%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1418 v 1538 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WLLDD v WWWLD Cagliari 1.0 · Bologna 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1538 vs 1418).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariWLLDD1.0 ppg
BolognaWWWLD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1418
Bologna1538
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 31% · 39%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning16% · 31% · 53%

AI match preview

Cagliari host Bologna in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 42% chance of securing victory, slightly ahead of a draw at 30%, while the home side trails with 28%. The model projects a closely contested encounter with an expected goal tally of around 1.14 for Cagliari and 1.31 for Bologna, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite the away win pick. Fans can anticipate a moderately open game, with both teams likely to score in just over half of the matches, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.31

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

CagliariBologna
4.4 Corners 4.6
2.1 Cards 2.0
13.1 Fouls 13.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Cagliari 2–1 Bologna
Sept 2023 Bologna 2–1 Cagliari