Fiorentina vs Udinese Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 14 Jan, 17:00
Fiorentina
22 Full time
Udinese
Fiorentina 2–2 Udinese

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 22%
Away 17%

💡 Fiorentina are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1545 v 1460 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index DWWWL v LDDWL Fiorentina 2.0 · Udinese 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1545 vs 1460).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Udinese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaDWWWL2.0 ppg
UdineseLDDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1545
Udinese1460
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 26% · 12%
Power Rating61% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning71% · 20% · 9%

AI match preview

Fiorentina enter this Serie A clash with a 61% probability of securing a home win against Udinese, backed by a solid confidence rating of 72.2/100. The model projects a tight contest with an expected scoreline of 1-0, reflecting Fiorentina’s advantage in expected goals (1.73 to 0.66). With under 50% chances for both over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, a low-scoring match seems likely; however, all predictions are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.66

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

FiorentinaUdinese
4.5 Corners 4.4
2.2 Cards 2.3
12.0 Fouls 13.6

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Fiorentina 2–2 Udinese
Sept 2023 Udinese 0–2 Fiorentina