Roma vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 20 Jan, 17:00
Roma
21 Full time
Verona
Roma 2–1 Verona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (68%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 68%
Draw 19%
Away 14%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 81.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1526 v 1429 Roma rated higher
Form Index LWLDL v LWLLW Roma 0.8 · Verona 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1526 vs 1429).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaLWLDL0.8 ppg
VeronaLWLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1526
Verona1429
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model68% · 22% · 10%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning77% · 12% · 11%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash against Verona as strong favorites, with a 68% probability of securing a home win and an expected 1.98 goals compared to Verona’s 0.63. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, reflecting Roma’s solid offensive edge and defensive stability. While the chance of over 2.5 goals is under 50%, this match could see a tight contest with limited scoring from both sides; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.98 – 0.63

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

RomaVerona
4.7 Corners 3.9
2.1 Cards 2.6
12.1 Fouls 15.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Roma 2–1 Verona
Aug 2023 Verona 2–1 Roma