Udinese vs Milan Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 20 Jan, 19:45
Udinese
23 Full time
Milan
Udinese 2–3 Milan

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 26%
Away 51%

💡 Milan are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1464 v 1596 Milan rated higher
Form Index DDWLD v WDWWW Udinese 1.2 · Milan 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Milan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1596 vs 1464).
  • Milan is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Milan
Goal expectation
Milan
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Milan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseDDWLD1.2 ppg
MilanWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1464
Milan1596
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 21% · 58%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning15% · 35% · 51%

AI match preview

Udinese hosts Milan in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a 51% chance of victory, with a 26% probability of a draw and just 23% for a home win. The model expects a relatively open game with an anticipated 1.44 goals for Udinese and 2.43 for Milan, making a 1-2 scoreline the most likely outcome. With a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and 71% probability both teams scoring, this encounter promises attacking action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 2.43

Most likely score

1-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

UdineseMilan
4.4 Corners 5.0
2.3 Cards 2.0
13.6 Fouls 10.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Udinese 2–3 Milan
Nov 2023 Milan 0–1 Udinese