Frosinone vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 21 Jan, 11:30
Frosinone
31 Full time
Cagliari
Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 25%
Away 29%

💡 Frosinone are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1423 v 1431 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index LLLLL v LLDDW Frosinone 0.0 · Cagliari 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1423 vs 1431).
  • Cagliari is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cagliari
Form Index
Frosinone
Goal expectation
Frosinone
Home advantage
Frosinone

Green = favours Frosinone · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FrosinoneLLLLL0.0 ppg
CagliariLLDDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Frosinone1423
Cagliari1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 25% · 17%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning47% · 21% · 33%

AI match preview

Frosinone host Cagliari in a Serie A clash where the model favors a home win at 45%, though the confidence level sits just below 50%. Expected goals suggest Frosinone may edge the scoring with 1.86 expected goals to Cagliari’s 0.92, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With both teams to score and over 2.5 goals each at around 52%, this match could offer balanced attacking opportunities—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.86 – 0.92

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

FrosinoneCagliari
5.6 Corners 4.4
1.8 Cards 2.1
10.2 Fouls 13.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari
Oct 2023 Cagliari 4–3 Frosinone