Salernitana vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 21 Jan, 17:00
Salernitana
12 Full time
Genoa
Salernitana 1–2 Genoa

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 31%
Away 40%

💡 Genoa have a slight edge — leaning Genoa, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1392 v 1477 Genoa rated higher
Form Index LDWLL v DWDDD Salernitana 0.8 · Genoa 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1477 vs 1392).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaLDWLL0.8 ppg
GenoaDWDDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1392
Genoa1477
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 30% · 45%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning24% · 38% · 39%

AI match preview

Salernitana host Genoa in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a slight advantage with a 40% chance of winning, though a draw is marginally more probable than a home victory. The model projects a closely contested game with an expected goal tally favoring Genoa at 1.42 versus Salernitana's 1.01, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams scoring, this match promises competitive action; remember, these are statistical projections and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.42

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

SalernitanaGenoa
3.9 Corners 3.8
2.4 Cards 1.9
11.8 Fouls 12.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Salernitana 1–2 Genoa
Oct 2023 Genoa 1–0 Salernitana