Cagliari vs Torino Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 26 Jan, 19:45
Cagliari
12 Full time
Torino
Cagliari 1–2 Torino

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 30%
Away 41%

💡 Torino have a slight edge — leaning Torino, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1417 v 1513 Torino rated higher
Form Index LDDWL v WDLWD Cagliari 1.0 · Torino 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Torino is the stronger side on Power Rating (1513 vs 1417).
  • Torino is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Torino
Form Index
Torino
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Torino. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLDDWL1.0 ppg
TorinoWDLWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1417
Torino1513
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 33% · 29%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning20% · 32% · 48%

AI match preview

Cagliari host Torino in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. The model projects a close contest with expected goals of 1.15 for Cagliari and 0.97 for Torino, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With both teams finding the net in 44% of simulations and a relatively low 36% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on tight margins; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 0.97

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

CagliariTorino
4.4 Corners 4.2
2.1 Cards 2.0
13.1 Fouls 13.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Cagliari 1–2 Torino
Aug 2023 Torino 0–0 Cagliari