Milan vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 27 Jan, 19:45
Milan
22 Full time
Bologna
Milan 2–2 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 24%
Away 17%

💡 Milan are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1605 v 1526 Milan rated higher
Form Index DWWWW v WWLDL Milan 2.6 · Bologna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Milan v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Milan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1605 vs 1526).
  • Milan is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Milan
Goal expectation
Milan
Home advantage
Milan

Green = favours Milan · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MilanDWWWW2.6 ppg
BolognaWWLDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Milan1605
Bologna1526
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 27% · 11%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning66% · 23% · 11%

AI match preview

Milan enter this Serie A clash with a strong 59% chance of securing a home win, backed by a model confidence of 68.6/100 and an expected goals tally of 1.58 compared to Bologna’s 0.54. The most probable outcome is a narrow 1-0 victory, with under 2.5 goals favored given the 36% probability for more goals and only a 35% chance both teams score. These projections highlight Milan’s edge but remind fans to consider the unpredictable nature of football and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.54

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

MilanBologna
5.0 Corners 4.6
2.0 Cards 2.0
10.8 Fouls 13.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

San Siro Milan, Italy Capacity 75,923 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Milan 2–2 Bologna
Aug 2023 Bologna 0–2 Milan