Salernitana vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 29 Jan, 19:45
Salernitana
12 Full time
Roma
Salernitana 1–2 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 26%
Away 54%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1382 v 1532 Roma rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v WLDLW Salernitana 0.8 · Roma 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1532 vs 1382).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaDWLLL0.8 ppg
RomaWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1382
Roma1532
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 27% · 47%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning9% · 33% · 59%

AI match preview

Salernitana hosts Roma in a Serie A clash where the model favors an away win with a 54% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 26%. Expected goals suggest a competitive match, with 1.19 for Salernitana and 1.67 for Roma, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just above 55%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.67

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

SalernitanaRoma
3.9 Corners 4.7
2.4 Cards 2.1
11.8 Fouls 12.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Salernitana 1–2 Roma
Aug 2023 Roma 2–2 Salernitana