Empoli vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 3 Feb, 14:00
Empoli
00 Full time
Genoa
Empoli 0–0 Genoa

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 32%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1416 v 1495 Genoa rated higher
Form Index DLLWD v DDDWW Empoli 1.0 · Genoa 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1495 vs 1416).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliDLLWD1.0 ppg
GenoaDDDWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1416
Genoa1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 33% · 45%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning26% · 36% · 38%

AI match preview

Empoli and Genoa face off in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 37%, but a draw holds the highest single outcome probability at 32%, with a confidence level of 38.9 out of 100. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with Genoa edging Empoli 1.25 to 0.80, and a goalless draw (0-0) emerging as the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring scenarios more probable, this match could be tight and cagey—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 1.25

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

EmpoliGenoa
4.6 Corners 3.8
2.1 Cards 1.9
14.3 Fouls 12.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Empoli 0–0 Genoa
Dec 2023 Genoa 1–1 Empoli