Bologna vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 3 Feb, 19:45
Bologna
42 Full time
Sassuolo
Bologna 4–2 Sassuolo

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 21%
Away 16%

💡 Bologna are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1530 v 1432 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WLDLD v LLWLL Bologna 1.0 · Sassuolo 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1530 vs 1432).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWLDLD1.0 ppg
SassuoloLLWLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1530
Sassuolo1432
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 24% · 12%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning71% · 16% · 13%

AI match preview

Bologna enter this Serie A clash with a 63% probability of securing a home win, backed by an expected goal tally of 1.84 compared to Sassuolo's 0.67. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a moderate chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 42%. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.67

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

BolognaSassuolo
4.6 Corners 4.5
2.0 Cards 2.1
13.1 Fouls 11.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Bologna 4–2 Sassuolo
Oct 2023 Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna