Napoli vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 4 Feb, 14:00
Napoli
21 Full time
Verona
Napoli 2–1 Verona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 21%
Away 16%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1421 Napoli rated higher
Form Index LDLWD v LLWLD Napoli 1.0 · Verona 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1514 vs 1421).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliLDLWD1.0 ppg
VeronaLLWLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1514
Verona1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 30% · 24%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning76% · 17% · 7%

AI match preview

Napoli hosts Verona in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a 63% probability of victory, supported by a strong confidence rating of 75.2 out of 100. Despite Napoli's advantage, the model forecasts a closely contested encounter with an expected goals tally of 1.42 to 0.98 and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With under 2.5 goals favored at 57% and both teams scoring nearly evenly split at 49%, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

NapoliVerona
5.8 Corners 3.9
1.6 Cards 2.6
10.7 Fouls 15.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Napoli 2–1 Verona
Oct 2023 Verona 1–3 Napoli