Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 4 Feb, 17:00
Atalanta
31 Full time
Lazio
Atalanta 3–1 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1556 v 1537 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LWDWW v WWWWD Atalanta 2.0 · Lazio 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1556 vs 1537).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLWDWW2.0 ppg
LazioWWWWD2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1556
Lazio1537
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 25% · 14%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning59% · 20% · 22%

AI match preview

Atalanta holds a slight edge with a 52% chance of securing a home win against Lazio, backed by a 58.8/100 confidence rating. The model projects a 2-0 victory for Atalanta, expecting 1.86 goals for the hosts compared to 0.79 for the visitors. With an almost even split on over 2.5 goals (49%) and both teams to score (47%), this match could offer tight but intriguing action; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.86 – 0.79

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

AtalantaLazio
5.4 Corners 5.0
1.8 Cards 2.6
12.0 Fouls 11.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Atalanta 3–1 Lazio
Oct 2023 Lazio 3–2 Atalanta