Roma vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 5 Feb, 19:45
Roma
40 Full time
Cagliari
Roma 4–0 Cagliari

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 17%
Away 13%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 84.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1541 v 1407 Roma rated higher
Form Index LDLWW v DDWLL Roma 1.4 · Cagliari 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Cagliari

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1541 vs 1407).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaLDLWW1.4 ppg
CagliariDDWLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1541
Cagliari1407
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model77% · 17% · 6%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning81% · 10% · 8%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash with a strong 70% probability of securing a home win against Cagliari, supported by a high confidence level of 84.4/100. The model projects Roma to score around 2.43 goals while conceding just 0.59, making a 2-0 victory the most likely scoreline. With a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and only a 41% probability of both teams scoring, expect Roma to control the game—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.43 – 0.59

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

RomaCagliari
4.7 Corners 4.4
2.1 Cards 2.1
12.1 Fouls 13.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Roma 4–0 Cagliari
Oct 2023 Cagliari 1–4 Roma