Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 11:30
Fiorentina
51 Full time
Frosinone
Fiorentina 5–1 Frosinone

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 19%
Away 17%

💡 Fiorentina are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1520 v 1430 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index WLDLL v LLWDL Fiorentina 0.8 · Frosinone 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Frosinone

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1520 vs 1430).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Frosinone. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWLDLL0.8 ppg
FrosinoneLLWDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1520
Frosinone1430
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model68% · 21% · 11%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning72% · 14% · 14%

AI match preview

Fiorentina enter this Serie A clash as clear favorites with a 65% chance of securing a home win, backed by a solid confidence rating of 77.2/100. The model projects an expected goal tally of 2.20 for Fiorentina against 0.81 for Frosinone, highlighting a likely 2-0 scoreline. With a 58% probability for over 2.5 goals and a balanced 50% chance for both teams to score, this match promises competitive action—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.20 – 0.81

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Fiorentina 5–1 Frosinone
Sept 2023 Frosinone 1–1 Fiorentina