Bologna vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 14:00
Bologna
40 Full time
Lecce
Bologna 4–0 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 22%
Away 16%

💡 Bologna are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1539 v 1452 Bologna rated higher
Form Index LDLDW v DLLLW Bologna 1.0 · Lecce 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Lecce

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1539 vs 1452).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaLDLDW1.0 ppg
LecceDLLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1539
Lecce1452
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 27% · 12%
Power Rating61% · 13% · 26%
Machine-learning72% · 17% · 11%

AI match preview

Bologna enters this Serie A clash with a 61% predicted chance of victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.59 compared to Lecce's 0.58, suggesting a tight but controlled home performance. The model favors a 1-0 scoreline, with a relatively low probability for goals over 2.5 or both teams scoring, highlighting a potentially cautious encounter. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 0.58

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Bologna 4–0 Lecce
Dec 2023 Lecce 1–1 Bologna