Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 17:00
Genoa
14 Full time
Atalanta
Genoa 1–4 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 29%
Away 44%

💡 Atalanta have a slight edge — leaning Atalanta, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1494 v 1568 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index DDWWD v WDWWW Genoa 1.8 · Atalanta 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1568 vs 1494).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDDWWD1.8 ppg
AtalantaWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1494
Atalanta1568
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 30% · 34%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning22% · 29% · 49%

AI match preview

Genoa hosts Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 44%, though a draw is close behind at 29%, reflecting a tightly contested match. Both teams are projected to score nearly equally, with an expected goals tally of 1.26 for Genoa and 1.24 for Atalanta, suggesting a competitive encounter likely to end around 1-1. With a 53% chance of both teams scoring and under 50% for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a balanced game; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Genoa 1–4 Atalanta
Oct 2023 Atalanta 2–0 Genoa