Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 17 Feb, 19:45
Atalanta
30 Full time
Sassuolo
Atalanta 3–0 Sassuolo

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (74%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 74%
Draw 15%
Away 11%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 90.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 90.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1587 v 1424 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index DWWWW v WLLLD Atalanta 2.6 · Sassuolo 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1587 vs 1424).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaDWWWW2.6 ppg
SassuoloWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1587
Sassuolo1424
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 15% · 7%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning80% · 13% · 7%

AI match preview

Atalanta enters this Serie A clash with a strong 74% probability of securing a home win against Sassuolo, backed by a confident 90.2/100 rating. The model predicts an expected goal tally of 2.86 for Atalanta compared to 0.84 for Sassuolo, with a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome. There's a 71% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability both teams will score; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.86 – 0.84

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Atalanta 3–0 Sassuolo
Aug 2023 Sassuolo 0–2 Atalanta