Lazio vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 18 Feb, 11:30
Lazio
12 Full time
Bologna
Lazio 1–2 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 31%
Away 30%

💡 Lazio have a slight edge — leaning Lazio, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1538 v 1564 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WWDLW v LDWWW Lazio 2.0 · Bologna 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1538 vs 1564).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioWWDLW2.0 ppg
BolognaLDWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1538
Bologna1564
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 35% · 21%
Power Rating43% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning36% · 31% · 33%

AI match preview

Lazio host Bologna in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 39%, though a draw or away victory remain close possibilities. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring encounter, with Lazio edging 1.09 to 0.68, yet the most likely result is a goalless draw. With only a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, this match could be tight and cagey; remember these projections are statistical and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.09 – 0.68

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Lazio 1–2 Bologna
Nov 2023 Bologna 1–0 Lazio